Pawpaw Harvest 2017: The Final Tally

In June 2017 I took a census of pawpaw fruits, comparing the 2016 harvest with what I anticipated would be the 2017 harvest.

Here's the information I tabulated and predicted in the census, based on the small pawpaw fruits that were on the trees in June: 

The Shenandoah: 65 (last year's final tally: 33)--a predicted increase of 32

The KSU-Atwood: 23 (last year's final tally: 34)--a predicted decrease of 11

The Wells: 37 (last year's final tally: 13)--a predicted increase of 24

The Total: 125 (last year's final tally: 80)--a predicted increase of 45    

(For more details on 2016's harvest, see this post.)

But below, I've got the actual, verified, final numbers for you, complete with day-by-day notations on the harvest, which, among all trees, lasted from September 5th to October 31st.

The Shenandoah gave us 72 pawpaws, beginning on Sept 5th and concluding on Oct 31st, lasting for the full extent of the harvest.

The KSU-Atwood gave us 32 pawpaws, beginning on Sept 15th and finishing up just a few minutes after the Shenandoah on Oct 31st.

The Wells gave us 66 pawpaws, beginning on Sept 28th and finishing on Oct 26th. On a per-day basis, the Wells's concentrated fury couldn't be matched. And also, like I've said, the Wells was a double-pawpaw making machine (we counted each double pawpaw as two pawpaws, fyi).

So here's the final tally

The Shenandoah

• 2016 final tally: 33
• 2017 prediction: 65
• 2017 final tally: 72 (39 more than 2016 and 7 more than predicted)

The Atwood

• 2016 final tally: 34
• 2017 prediction: 23
• 2017 final tally: 32 (2 fewer than 2016 but 9 more than predicted)

The Wells

• 2016 final tally: 13
• 2017 prediction: 37
• 2017 final tally: 66 (53 more than 2016 and 29 more than predicted)

The Total

• 2016 final tally: 80
• 2017 prediction: 125
• 2017 final tally: 170 (90 more than 2016 and 45 more than predicted)

So much arithmetic in this post. Next time hopefully a little more fractal geometry, which as you'll see from the Mandelbrot set lurking on the other side of the Shenandoah's chart, is the true substrate of all pawpaw harvesting.